Tension index: Iran

How likely an event is in the next 7 and 30 days, when the most likely window is, and what changed. Every signal visible, every forecast recorded.

This is an analytical estimate from open sources. It is not intelligence, not a certain forecast, and not a substitute for Home Front Command instructions. Home Front Command instructions
טווח זמן

איראן במספרים

נתונים על איראן מאז מלחמת 2026: המטבע, הנפט, הספנות, המחירים והפיקוח הגרעיני. לכל נתון יש מקור ותאריך.

לכל הנתונים

The daily summary

Once a day, at 20:00: the numbers, what happened today and what it means. Short and calm.

Today's summary

Calm alerts

Two separate channels: changes in the estimate, and news. Pick a level for each, from off to every move. No message for every headline, and you can turn it off at any time.

Alert preferences

Family circle: I'm OK

Start a private circle for your family. From the protected space, one tap tells everyone you are OK.

Start a circle

Heard a boom?

In my Facebook group "Shamati Boom" (I heard a boom), thousands of people report booms around the country in real time and work out together what it was. A place to share and ask without judgement, with plenty of humour. The group is in Hebrew.

Open the group on Facebook My interview about it on Galatz radio (Hebrew)