The accuracy record
An append-only forecast log (no row can be edited or deleted), resolutions with evidence links, and a Brier score per question and horizon. A lower Brier score is better; 0.25 is the score of a constant 50% guess.
An append-only forecast log (no row can be edited or deleted), resolutions with evidence links, and a Brier score per question and horizon. A lower Brier score is better; 0.25 is the score of a constant 50% guess.